Overlooked data in the Cut50 debate
In 2015, the Marshall Project reported that criminal justice reform organizations were uniting behind the "Cut50" goal to reduce the prison population by 50% over 10 to 15 years. That report also acknowledged the following implication of this goal: "Left mostly unsaid is that achieving the goal of this "Cut50" movement would entail touching what has long ...
Read More The cohort effect when crime and incarceration were rising
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|Coates (2015) presented a graph showing that the USA violent crime rate surged after 1960, but the incarceration rate didn't start rising until after 1970. Based on this time lag, Coates concluded that incarceration "rose independent of crime". Hymowitz (2015) responded that this lag was better explained by policy that was "slow to catch up in the ...
Read More The NYC crime decline and “better policing”
New York City's crime decline is often attributed to better policing, but some tactics have been controversial, including the "stop, question, and frisk" tactic that peaked at about 700,000 stops in 2011. "A large percentage of those stopped were minorities, and critics and plaintiffs in federal court proceedings questioned whether all these stops could have been based ...
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