The new usual suspects: Adults ages 25 and older

Massive declines in arrest rates for juveniles and adults ages 18-24 have caused an astonishing change in the age distribution of felony arrests since 1980. In 1980, adults ages 25 and older accounted for just 19% of burglary arrests and children ages 14 and younger accounted for 15%.In 2020, adults ages 25 and older accounted for 71% ...
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Vanishing juvenile crime has spread to young adults

The massive decline in juvenile offending has – predictably – spread to arrest rates for ages 18-20 and 21-24.   In 1990, the violent crime arrest rate for ages 18-20 was 16% higher than the rate for ages 21-24, and about 4 times higher than the rate for ages 25 and older.In 2020, the violent crime arrest ...
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Age-Crime Curve Collapse Continues

“The prevalence of offending tends to increase from late childhood, peak in the teenage years (from 15 to 19) and then decline in the early 20s. This bell-shaped age trend, called the age-crime curve, is universal in Western populations” (National Institute of Justice, 2014) This statement was not true in 2019 and it was even less true ...
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Elephant in the room update: Juvenile crime plunged in 2020

Everyone loves a true crime mystery. Dateline NBC - “the OG of true crime” – is the most-watched newsmagazine on TV. With that fan base, you would think that NBC might want to follow up on the amazing true crime mystery investigated by Dick Mendel in 2014. “For the juvenile justice field, there is no larger question. ...
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